Get the most from your keys.

Interesting idea.

So, if i buy, for example, 100 keys couple of minutes before event ends, what will be opened, 1 silver or 10 bronzes?

OP, your suggestion is good for minimizing gaming addiction generated by the easy reward and gambling aspects.

From my perspective, I have been playing a lot. Lot for me at least with over 1100 player ranking points. Opened many chests and got lucky a few times by getting lots of keys in return. Reinvested all the keys and I am about 60% of the way to a super chest. Without even more substantial luck or dropping RM towards the end of the cycle the super chest does not seem to be obtainable at my current rate of play.

Personally, I will keep going hard at it for this cycle. Wont do it for the next cycle again. This carrot is very hard to grab. Very hard.

Awesome advice, but how sure are you about this?

I wonder if the keys are even worth their equivalent value in gold. In the gold event, players would buy maybe 10k gold and get items in return in much higher gold value, because the gold chests would sometimes contain large amounts of gold, and a lot of items worth more than 1000k gold.

Now, I rolled 4 silver chests, and 3 times just got keys back, ranging from 60-80 per chest, and 70 gold.

13k keys cost roughly as much as 13k gold. So my question is: Do we even get equal value if we do 13 gold chest spins, or do we actually get _less_ than we would if we would buy 13k gold and spend it directly?

It depends entirely on what you already own, and what you end up rolling.

If you spend 13k au and get a dash bot or WW bot, you're above the curve. If you already have most of the au items you need to level for a competetive hangar, chances are you're not going to get much unless you high roll. With 13 1k chests a single re-roll will prettt much guarantee 2 super chests. So its one of those things that has so much RNG, YMMV

I have thought about spinning the wheel in my fb account, that has a grand total of zero gold items. So every gold item except maybe a Gekko would be welcome.
Still, if the return is say the equivalent of 15k gold, it's not worth it. Especially with that discount offer out there that gives 2k gold and a Lance for 30 bucks (though I have yet to see it on my FB account). But 3.1 hasn't arrived there yet, so I have time to make up my mind. After all, I haven't been exactly happy with Pixo recently.

On my main account I'm not at all tempted, as only a Doc, another Zeus and maybe a Rog are on my shopping list. OK, another pair of Orkans for the Doc maybe. But this is all changeup hangar stuff, my main hangar is set (1 Tarancilot, 1 Thorkalot, 2 DB Griff, 1 Zeus Molot Natty).

Edit: I remember the Anniversary event. I'm pretty sure that the win chances were changed after a couple of days, because people that immediately rolled gold chests seemed to win a lot of stuff, while all the people hanging back and waiting for the reports didn't get much. I knew that I had pretty much everything I needed for an endgame hangar (even though I didn't have the second Lance back then), so I decided to spend 3k of my accumulated gold to roll chests. Most gold chests gave back just 700-800 gold, and in the end I traded my 3k gold for - a Jesse from the superchest, and my third Gary. But OK, it was accumulated gold, so no harm done, it only slowed my progress towards my second Lance a bit.

I'd rather take the grind for Au and Ag, you'll feel better "paid".

While the suggestion to wait has merit in terms of minimizing time spent and potential black market adfiction, assuming that the rewards will be better is speculation at best.
Most logical way to implement this would be to simply reroll untill there are no keys left. No reason to generate key-free seperate loot tables for it.

The rewards from the bronze chests are obviously crap, so I roll a silver whenever I got 100. Again, my verdict on silver is "crap, too".

That's a good point and well thought. It's not 100% guaranteed (as number of swag-keys won could result in an identical number of other-than-key winnings) but pretty close.

That's an assumption and your post is heavily based on it.

You roll keys then it will check your balance, if you can roll a larger chest, it will.  It's easily programmable.

Yeah that's what I'm saying. With Au and Ag you can grind indefinitely (and even passively) for. But to force oneself to grind for several thousand BM keys that you accrue at a much lower rate to meet a deadline just days away? In that case I'd rather pay...provided I'm committed to a Superchest.