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Post by The Doctor Is Out on May 1, 2017 0:19:53 GMT -5
/silently rages What a mediocre chance to get Butch. I had 6500 Au before the start of the event, but I bought Jesse to prevent it from slipping through my fingers again. Should've just gone big; because I'm still 5 1000 Au chest away from a Superchest that has a mediocre chance of giving me Butch.
From a man who's gotten every gold item he could want, almost anything but a Doc or a Butch is a loss, and I'd consider Doc a loss due to his lack of combat longevity. I hate this.
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intruder1
Destrier
Snakes on a Helicopter!
Posts: 98
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Pilot name: intruder1
Platform: Android
League: Gold
Favorite robot: MadCat... Wait, wrong game.
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Post by intruder1 on May 1, 2017 3:21:12 GMT -5
Okay Dredd, you convinced me... and I'm glad I listened!
I started with ~3500Au, and opened nothing but gold (1k Au) chests. I ended up winning 2 Aphids, 2 Garys, all 3 WW bots, a Gepard, and a Fury (didn't win any Ag).
I now have 652Au, and I feel like it was well spent. If I get to 1K Au before the end of the event, I might just throw in for another Gold chest.
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Post by KaneoheGrown on May 1, 2017 4:40:58 GMT -5
Well to be honest... Butch, 14k Lance, 5k Rog, 2.5k Gep, 1.2k Au of 7.5k 30.2k Au of winnings is pretty good off 3.7k imo... Are we really counting Butch as worth 14k Gold...? I think that's Pixonic trying to inflate the valuation of winning one! I do count the Butch as 14k, it's a known price point if you spend the Au outright to buy one. As to whether players feel the price is justified, that's a whole nother conversation. I agree with many that 14k is a bit outlandish for the bot. However, in terms of the "value", even if we wipe out the Au as "reroll" bait, 22.7k Au of bots is still a "win" in my books for spending less than 4k Au. But that's how I'd look at it. *Note: A buddy of mine from Line bought and rolled $100 (14k Au). He now has just over 50k Au from 1k chests. So that's definitely the way to go...
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Post by The Doctor Is Out on May 1, 2017 7:09:56 GMT -5
Okay Dredd, you convinced me... and I'm glad I listened! I started with ~3500Au, and opened nothing but gold (1k Au) chests. I ended up winning 2 Aphids, 2 Garys, all 3 WW bots, a Gepard, and a Fury (didn't win any Ag). I now have 652Au, and I feel like it was well spent. If I get to 1K Au before the end of the event, I might just throw in for another Gold chest. Did you buy gold? For only 3 1K Au chests, you can't pull that much out of it.
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Post by ou812gr8m8 on May 1, 2017 9:34:49 GMT -5
Okay Dredd, you convinced me... and I'm glad I listened! I started with ~3500Au, and opened nothing but gold (1k Au) chests. I ended up winning 2 Aphids, 2 Garys, all 3 WW bots, a Gepard, and a Fury (didn't win any Ag). I now have 652Au, and I feel like it was well spent. If I get to 1K Au before the end of the event, I might just throw in for another Gold chest. Did you buy gold? For only 3 1K Au chests, you can't pull that much out of it. I guess he could've started off winning a ton of gold and played that...
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Post by Scuzzbopper on May 1, 2017 11:49:46 GMT -5
Great read. Missed this over the weekend as I was grinding away. I love the maths you do Dredd77.
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rhubarb
Destrier
Posts: 29
Karma: 12
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Post by rhubarb on May 1, 2017 12:39:06 GMT -5
for the purposes of extending the dataset, here are the results of 130 consecutive rolls of the 1000AU chests, (the superchest results are included in the totals). I started with 8100AU, and decided to continue rolling until I was down to 5000AU (in case the heavy cannon thingies ever get released). I stopped at 7600 gold since I needed to go out. gekko 11 gephard 3 zeus 3 ancile 6 galahad 3 butch 1 jesse 4 aphid 4 ork 2 rog 2 gareth 2 doc 1 lancelot 1 start gold 8100 end gold 7600
superchest results: 2000 4000 2750 4000 3250 2750 rog 3000 zeus 2750 jesse 2750 2500 2500 2000
Hope that this data is useful.
TL:DR - hypothesis supported - much profit!
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Post by Replicant on May 1, 2017 16:14:20 GMT -5
On the strength of your number crunching I opened enough chests to get the bonus chest. I got a Doc, a Gepard, a Gekko and an Orkan plus enough gold to end up with the same amount of gold I started with. No complaints. I wanted the Doc. Not sure what to do with the Gepard though.
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Post by Scuzzbopper on May 1, 2017 16:24:58 GMT -5
Does anyone out there have a counter experience?
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Post by ⓣⓡⓘⓒⓚⓨ48 on May 1, 2017 16:31:17 GMT -5
Okay Dredd, you convinced me... and I'm glad I listened! I started with ~3500Au, and opened nothing but gold (1k Au) chests. I ended up winning 2 Aphids, 2 Garys, all 3 WW bots, a Gepard, and a Fury (didn't win any Ag). I now have 652Au, and I feel like it was well spent. If I get to 1K Au before the end of the event, I might just throw in for another Gold chest. Did you buy gold? For only 3 1K Au chests, you can't pull that much out of it. Yes he can... if he gets Au for the prize and it's enough to keep spinning till the super chest, all the superchests I got were 3000 Au or more, which allowed me to get the ball rolling on the next set of 1k chests. I ended up with a very similar story except that I started with 5k.
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intruder1
Destrier
Snakes on a Helicopter!
Posts: 98
Karma: 71
Pilot name: intruder1
Platform: Android
League: Gold
Favorite robot: MadCat... Wait, wrong game.
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Post by intruder1 on May 2, 2017 4:30:41 GMT -5
Did you buy gold? For only 3 1K Au chests, you can't pull that much out of it. Yes he can... if he gets Au for the prize and it's enough to keep spinning till the super chest, all the superchests I got were 3000 Au or more, which allowed me to get the ball rolling on the next set of 1k chests. I ended up with a very similar story except that I started with 5k. That's exactly what happened, I didn't buy any gold. I won tons of gold, and at one point I had over 10k gold.
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Post by ou812gr8m8 on May 2, 2017 5:13:21 GMT -5
Does anyone out there have a counter experience? Yes... I haven't opened a chest.
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Post by U Camp = I Camp on May 2, 2017 14:19:08 GMT -5
Shoulda commented on this when it happened, better late than never though. After reading the OP link and the thread, I gave it a shot Friday night and gambled my hard earned lootz. Fortunate to write I came up ahead. My initial bankroll & subsequent winnings let me spin enough gold chests to hit 4 super chests spins.
Net loss = about 2500 gold Net gain item value = about 27,000g worth.
For my frugally-managed 5-slot main account, most of the stuff was needed & usable.
Thanks for the info! Good luck to all, YMMV.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 2, 2017 14:31:04 GMT -5
Based on a lot of the reading here at the forum, I gave this plan a shot. It worked out for me as described above. basically, winning enough gold per every 8 spins with the superchest to keep on spinning. I ended up spinning maybe 50-60 times on the same initial investment. I was selling bots that were unwanted or redundant, and netted close to 40 million in silver (which I totally needed), and still won a Doc, Jesse, and two Lancelots. I also completed collections of Zeus and Orkans in case I need any more down the road.
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