Superchest & advice on spins

The problem is that we don’t know the odds and hence all hypothesis in this regard are subjective. Its sort of like saying I play lotto and I won a big prize using this particular method for picking numbers. I think in the long term most will get the average intended pay out what ever method is being used unless a bug in the wheel is discovered and utilises to the player’s advantage.

Well, on gold spins, what I can recall having hit are 5000 Au, 5000 Au, 800 Au, Lance, 700 keys, 3500 shocktrain, 7500 keys.  I'd say the results are a minimum of 1.5x better than comparable value of things I have won on silver, which in turn is 1.5x better than things I have won on bronze.  True it is like comparing to lotto, but this is comparison of several hundred of bronze spins 50 or more silver and 7 or 9 gold.    It's not exact, and I may just be hitting one out of a hundred every time on gold but at some point, you can start drawing reasonable concolusions.  

I think you're right, but I spent all my keys on Bronze Chests this cycle. I took the avg of all my bronze components, and based on the Au value of each from another thread, figured out the avg was 7.5 Au worth of Au components. Also looked at the median of my prizes (so the scroll bar was in the middle) and it was about 7 Au. So my guess is that any payout that exceeds 750 Au or 750 keys or 750 Au of components is a win when it comes to Gold Chests. 

So far last month, I got an Aphid which is worth 750 Au, and 6400 components of Tempest, which is 2x of what I shoulda gotton from Bronze Chests. Thanks for the additional data.

I tried bronze this month, since some said it was pretty good. So far, just kinda meh for me and I spun a lot.

If you go with bronze, you'll have more chance to get components you need. But I think Gold Chest can really speed up if you decide to go with the flow. 

Yeah I know about that table. The issue is that they are not the pay out odds. They are the odds for the distribution of items with a band of value.

You are right about the stuff in the second paragraph.

Third paragraph: we cant run the numbers since we don’t know the odds. The only thing we can do is collect a large enough sample and try to work out the odds for each band of items. A couple hundred sample should do but than pix just changes the distribution on the fly

I think as soon as people work it out and the info is published Pix changes things. IMO Pix will also change pay out odds in response to the move in public sentiment about the game.

I used 99% of my ads to open bronze chests and saved all keys earned for gold chests. Only took 2 gold chests and a days worth more of free bronze to get me to my super chest. At this rate I should be opening about 3-4 super chests this month. I'm a (mostly) free player (picked up 10 of the 500+ au for $.99 deals to get a Fury) and this was the first super I've ever got to. Only time I use ads to rush upgrades is if it finishes when I'll be sleeping or working, and then it's back to chests.

I got 12,000 Hover Components from the superchest last season, pretty nice. Almost landed on I think 7,500 shocktrain components though. And I got there almost entirely on just bronze chests, an occasional silver chest and 1 gold chest. I'm 7/8ths of the way there again already and the BM season has only been about a week already. In fact, I feel like bronze and silver chests are almost regarded as same value as gold chests if not slightly less, in proportion to how fast they fill the Superchest progress bar

Save up your Kumiho components, because when 3.5 hits the daily components start with kumiho and you have 2k so you have a head start.

Wow thats a bad payout. I got 1000 kumiho parts in a gold chest last month and felt ripped off...

I opened a super chest last night with my kid. I got a Rog and was a little dissapointed at first. In hindsight however I am pleased; I got a whole bot and not parts of one. I love my current orkan Rog so I am thinking my second will be equipped with tarans for hunting carnages and haechi and then either function as beacon capper in my second hangar or as a specialist bot in my primary hangar

Not sure if this image attachment works as I've never used this before. But... this is a screenshot of where I'm at using ONLY Bronze chests and watching a ton of ads lol. I'm not going to lie but watching ads lately has been quite addictive.

How many superchests are you going to fill that route?  By using all commercials for bronze but saving up keys till gold, I expect to hit 4 gold chests and 4 superchests plus however many bronze spins there are.  In my experience, gold chest drops are as good as sc.  How many SC's will you hit?

Grrr! I've been busting my hump, trying to build up keys. I was up over 900, and broke down and bought my last 100. I throw open the gold chest and what do I receive? 1,000 lousy Kumiho components. What a letdown. Last month, I won 1,000 Au, which wasn't what I was hoping for, but I could live with it. But 1,000 Kumi components? Talk about a disappointment. Oh, by the way, that took my Kumi component total up to 2,365, so I'm only a stone's throw away from getting one. NOT!!

Oh, I didn't expect anything spectacular, but supposedly the more you invest, the larger the return. And it isn't gambling when the deck is stacked. I had just hoped for a less stacked deck than I received.

I did something similar in the last BM. I got to 1000 keys with a hard grind and ended up with a pull that gave me 3400 Tempest bits.  

I realize that we're basically gambling with virtual currency, but come on. All the time, you see that pop up window at the bottom of your screen, telling how this person won a Haechi, or that person won a Bulgasari. Heck, I wouldn't waste the Au on a Fury, but I wouldn't whine if I won one on a BM spin. At least I could outfit it with all the Trebs that I don't use. I'd be very happy with a Doc. Just as long as it isn't another Natty or Leo. I have enough of them to almost complete a hangar of each. I'll probably sell some of them one day, but I'll hold off for now.