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Post by targetnumber2 on Dec 8, 2017 22:15:39 GMT -5
I am more or less curious about other people's win percentages. Last night I had a long string of victories and my win percentage climbed to 66%, I checked it after another couple wins and it was still 66% and at that point I went to bed. Tonight i won at least 7 games in a row before my first loss and my win percentage stayed at 66% until my first loss that bumped me down to 64%.
This isn't my first time experiencing this and it has happened with losses as well, why won't my win percentage increase or decrease to what it is supposed to be?
I have sent a message to pixonic and got the typical BS response without any helpful information. I have asked them if it is a bug, and even pushed the message along as of it was a bug. Could it be a bug or shall I get my tin foil hat?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 8, 2017 22:19:43 GMT -5
I suspect there's a time delay. I lost about 10 games in a row and my % didn't budge. Logged in the next day and it's dropped.
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Post by acdcfan on Dec 8, 2017 22:22:00 GMT -5
people still pay attention to that?...
Play the game and ignore stupid stats. Do they help anyway
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inspirace
Trusted Contributor 
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Pilot name: inspirace
Platform: iOS
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League: Champion
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Favorite robot: Rog, Griff, Carn, Doc, Rhino, Haechi, Kumiho, Bulgasari, Mender, Inquisitor, Spectre, Strider,
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Post by inspirace on Dec 8, 2017 22:28:37 GMT -5
I am more or less curious about other people's win percentages. Last night I had a long string of victories and my win percentage climbed to 66%, I checked it after another couple wins and it was still 66% and at that point I went to bed. Tonight i won at least 7 games in a row before my first loss and my win percentage stayed at 66% until my first loss that bumped me down to 64%. This isn't my first time experiencing this and it has happened with losses as well, why won't my win percentage increase or decrease to what it is supposed to be? I have sent a message to pixonic and got the typical BS response without any helpful information. I have asked them if it is a bug, and even pushed the message along as of it was a bug. Could it be a bug or shall I get my tin foil hat? it's because the percentage is calculated for the last 50 matches. let's say you had won the -50th match. when you have a new match, now that -50th match will be pushed to the -51st match and won't be considered anymore for calculating the average win% for the last 50 matches. therefore, you will have to win this new match to stay at the same win percentage over the last 50 matches. only when you replace a loss with a win, the win percentage will go up by 2%. the same for losses. only when you replace a win with a loss, your percentage will go down by 2%. |
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Post by moses on Dec 8, 2017 22:35:04 GMT -5
When thinking about how short term trends affect your average win rate on the summary screen there are two things to think about:
1) what happened in the last [1/5/10] games
2) how does that compare to the [1/5/10] games you played 50 games ago
In the case you describe the fact your avg stayed at 66% after every game through your 7 game streak would imply you had a winning streak of 8 games 50 games ago. Each game you won replaced a win that dropped out the backend of your last 50 used to calculate the average. The reason your old streak would have been at least 8 games is becaus the fact your loss made your average go down - if 50 games before that loss your streak had also ended at 7 games you would have stayed at 66% after the loss too.
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Post by moses on Dec 8, 2017 22:37:15 GMT -5
I am more or less curious about other people's win percentages. Last night I had a long string of victories and my win percentage climbed to 66%, I checked it after another couple wins and it was still 66% and at that point I went to bed. Tonight i won at least 7 games in a row before my first loss and my win percentage stayed at 66% until my first loss that bumped me down to 64%. This isn't my first time experiencing this and it has happened with losses as well, why won't my win percentage increase or decrease to what it is supposed to be? I have sent a message to pixonic and got the typical BS response without any helpful information. I have asked them if it is a bug, and even pushed the message along as of it was a bug. Could it be a bug or shall I get my tin foil hat? it's because the percentage is calculated for the last 50 matches. let's say you had won the -50th match. when you have a new match, now that -50th match will be pushed to the -51st match and won't be considered anymore for calculating the average win% for the last 50 matches. therefore, you will have to win this new match to stay at the same win percentage over the last 50 matches. only when you replace a loss with a win, the win percentage will go up by 2%. the same for losses. only when you replace a win with a loss, your percentage will go down by 2%. You beat me to it - race you for the next one  |
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Post by targetnumber2 on Dec 8, 2017 22:52:46 GMT -5
I've been on a very good winning streak the last 2 days, I just won 2 more after my first loss since yesterday and it is still at 64% from the 66% that it plateaued at last night on my winning streak, I don't believe these percentages are right.
I don't care about the percentage because I have lost close to 50 matches consecutively and never went below a 34% win percentage which kinda proves to me that the calculated percentage is different for me. I notice other people's high and low win percentages and can't seem to get near the same.
Why would the percentage go up 2% after each of my victories last night and then stop before winning another 7 plus matches?
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Post by Deleted on Dec 9, 2017 9:23:44 GMT -5
What Inspirace said is correct. It’s called a 50-game moving average I believe.
I’ve tracked win% using a spreadsheet before and can verify that the stats shown are correct.
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Post by fιяєfℓαмє on Dec 9, 2017 10:47:54 GMT -5
My win rate was go down to 26%, then I was leave war robots for a couple of days now.
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inspirace
Trusted Contributor
Posts: 2,670
Karma: 2,959
Pilot name: inspirace
Platform: iOS
Clan: NEW
League: Champion
Server Region: North America
Favorite robot: Rog, Griff, Carn, Doc, Rhino, Haechi, Kumiho, Bulgasari, Mender, Inquisitor, Spectre, Strider,
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Post by inspirace on Dec 9, 2017 11:34:35 GMT -5
I've been on a very good winning streak the last 2 days, I just won 2 more after my first loss since yesterday and it is still at 64% from the 66% that it plateaued at last night on my winning streak, I don't believe these percentages are right. I don't care about the percentage because I have lost close to 50 matches consecutively and never went below a 34% win percentage which kinda proves to me that the calculated percentage is different for me. I notice other people's high and low win percentages and can't seem to get near the same. Why would the percentage go up 2% after each of my victories last night and then stop before winning another 7 plus matches? I explained what I believe about (and tested by @nixpilot) how the win% is calculated in one of the above replies. if you are still in doubt, I recommend you to start recording every battle results (W/L) for the next 50 matches. then test whether win% is showing indeed the result from the "moving window of the last 50 matches", as you play more after the 50 matches. who knows? You may discover a yet another mystery hidden in War Robots . what if there were indeed a BM-like roulette that decide whether to increase the win% or not after each win? although I would highly doubt that, |
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Post by targetnumber2 on Dec 9, 2017 12:31:51 GMT -5
I've been on a very good winning streak the last 2 days, I just won 2 more after my first loss since yesterday and it is still at 64% from the 66% that it plateaued at last night on my winning streak, I don't believe these percentages are right. I don't care about the percentage because I have lost close to 50 matches consecutively and never went below a 34% win percentage which kinda proves to me that the calculated percentage is different for me. I notice other people's high and low win percentages and can't seem to get near the same. Why would the percentage go up 2% after each of my victories last night and then stop before winning another 7 plus matches? I explained what I believe about (and tested by @nixpilot) how the win% is calculated in one of the above replies. if you are still in doubt, I recommend you to start recording every battle results (W/L) for the next 50 matches. then test whether win% is showing indeed the result from the "moving window of the last 50 matches", as you play more after the 50 matches. who knows? You may discover a yet another mystery hidden in War Robots . what if there were indeed a BM-like roulette that decide whether to increase the win% or not after each win? although I would highly doubt that, thank you for explaining all that, I think I understand how it should work now. I think I must keep track to be sure, it just seems highly suspect that I can predict my maximum win and loss percentages every time, I will also say that the rare times when I get to 68% wins that I immediately get a losing streak and much harder matches as if my weapons fail to do damage, much more so than the regular maximum of 66% that gives me a gradual beat down. |
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Post by amidf on Dec 9, 2017 23:53:32 GMT -5
Readers may also enjoy this thread about how win rate would fluctuate under a random walk. Thunderkiss and zer00eyz also explained why win rate changes by -2%, 0, or 2% each game. |
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Post by acdcfan on Dec 10, 2017 2:14:05 GMT -5
Readers may also enjoy this thread about how win rate would fluctuate under a random walk. Thunderkiss and zer00eyz also explained why win rate changes by -2%, 0, or 2% each game. That is a good read indeed... |
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